Statement for the Record Worldwide Threat Assessment of the US Intelligence Community Senate Armed Services Committee James R Clapper Director of National Intelligence February 9, 2016 i STATEMENT FOR THE RECORD WORLDWIDE THREAT ASSESSMENT of the US INTELLIGENCE COMMUNITY February 9, 2016 INTRODUCTION Chairman McCain, Ranking Member Reed, Members of the Committee, thank you for the invitation to offer the United States Intelligence Community’s 2016 assessment of threats to US national security My statement reflects the collective insights of the Intelligence Community’s extraordinary me n and women, whom I am privileged and honored to lead We in the Intelligence Community are committed every day to provide the nuanced, multidisciplinary intelligence that policymakers, warfighters, and domestic law enforcement personnel need to protect A merican lives and America’s interests anywhere in the world The order of the topics presented in this statement does not necessarily indicate the relative importance or magnitude of the threat in the view of the Intelligence Community Information available as of February 3, 2016 was used in the preparation of this assessment ii TABLE OF CONTENTS Page GLOBAL THREATS Cyber and Technology Terrorism Weapons of Mass Destruction and Proliferation Space and Counterspace Counterintelligence Transnational Organized Crime Economics and Natural Resources Human Security 1 4 6 9 10 11 12 13 REGIONAL THREATS East Asia China Southeast Asia North Korea Russia and Eurasia Russia Ukraine, Belarus, and Moldova The Caucasus and Central Asia Europe Key Partners The Balkans Turkey Middle East and North Africa Iraq Syria Libya Yemen Iran 16 16 17 17 17 17 19 19 20 20 20 21 21 21 22 23 23 24